Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.000693 0.000788 0.000888 0.001002 0.001127 0.001260 0.001413
2025-08-31 0.000523 0.000651 0.000795 0.000970 0.001174 0.001404 0.001680
2025-09-07 0.000442 0.000585 0.000754 0.000968 0.001226 0.001528 0.001903
2025-09-14 0.000382 0.000535 0.000723 0.000968 0.001276 0.001645 0.002116
2025-09-21 0.000332 0.000488 0.000688 0.000958 0.001307 0.001735 0.002296
2025-09-28 0.000288 0.000444 0.000652 0.000941 0.001325 0.001807 0.002451
2025-10-05 0.000266 0.000429 0.000651 0.000967 0.001396 0.001947 0.002693
2025-10-12 0.000245 0.000411 0.000645 0.000986 0.001457 0.002073 0.002920
2025-10-19 0.000219 0.000383 0.000621 0.000977 0.001480 0.002147 0.003081
2025-10-26 0.000194 0.000355 0.000595 0.000963 0.001493 0.002208 0.003224
2025-11-02 0.000179 0.000340 0.000587 0.000973 0.001539 0.002314 0.003428
2025-11-09 0.000164 0.000323 0.000574 0.000974 0.001571 0.002401 0.003608
2025-11-16 0.000142 0.000294 0.000541 0.000944 0.001557 0.002424 0.003701
2025-11-23 0.000124 0.000268 0.000510 0.000916 0.001545 0.002447 0.003795
2025-11-30 0.000113 0.000254 0.000497 0.000913 0.001569 0.002523 0.003963
2025-12-07 0.000103 0.000241 0.000486 0.000913 0.001598 0.002605 0.004142
2025-12-14 0.000093 0.000227 0.000470 0.000904 0.001610 0.002664 0.004287
2025-12-21 0.000082 0.000211 0.000451 0.000888 0.001612 0.002704 0.004407
2025-12-28 0.000079 0.000209 0.000456 0.000913 0.001678 0.002844 0.004674
2026-01-04 0.000075 0.000204 0.000457 0.000930 0.001733 0.002968 0.004920
2026-01-11 0.000067 0.000193 0.000443 0.000922 0.001745 0.003026 0.005068
2026-01-18 0.000060 0.000181 0.000427 0.000908 0.001749 0.003069 0.005195
2026-01-25 0.000057 0.000175 0.000424 0.000918 0.001790 0.003173 0.005415